Sandown – Smarkets Handicap – 1.40pm:
Kasbah drops down to the lowest class of race he’s ever run in here and that is a positive in itself. He’s been running in class 4 races since June going close in all seven, having never been beaten further than three and a half lengths. Arguably a better performer on the all weather however he went very close (losing only a short head) in a class 4 handicap four days ago off 1lb lower on quick ground so he has to be given a big shout here off his second lowest turf mark of his career. He should sit nice and close to the pace from stall two with the favourite, Saaheq, drawn wide likely to go forward however he may be taken on for the lead. Saaheq may be tough to beat under a penalty however Kasbah could be well handicapped at this level if finding some of his better form.
Selection – Kasbah 1pt win @5/1
Yarmouth – Maiden Stakes – 3.00pm:
Sovereign Grant went straight into my tracker after he got a tough passage through his debut at Sandown last month when finishing fourth, two and a quarter lengths behind the winner Rajinsky. He was trapped on the rail two furlongs out and Ryan Moore had to change course on the Royal runner to the outside but he found even more trouble and got squeezed out when coming with a good looking run. I’ve no doubt this son of Kingman will improve from his debut and he looks the pick of the race of those with experience with Reeves taking three runs to notch up a best RPR of 1lb less than Sovereign Grant’s debut. I suspect it will take a fairly useful newcomer to beat him here so I’m happy to back him.
Selection – Sovereign Grant 2pts win @7/4 (NAP)
Yarmouth – Stanley Threadwell Memorial Handicap – 5.10pm:
Hopefully there will be a decent bit of pace to aim at for Line Of Reason, even in this small field handicap. He has had a long season now and had a tough ask last time out behind Equilateral. Prior to that he ran well in the Beverley Bullet. He has been placed in some big handicaps already this year and although his last winning mark was 6lbs lower than this, he has won off this mark before in June last year. The booking of Oisin Murphy is an obvious plus with how well he is riding this year and he has won on the horse before. Encore D’Or may be tough to beat if reproducing his form from his third in Listed company last time out, however he’s never won in handicap company on the turf and he’s gone up 4lbs for that run at Doncaster last time.
Selection – Line Of Reason 1pt win @5/1 (NB)